Dalton Kincaid

As we head into the 2025 fantasy football season, Dalton Kincaid is poised for a significant bounce-back year after a disappointing and injury-riddled 2024 campaign. Despite being labeled a "bust" last season, Kincaid's underlying metrics suggest he has the potential to be a valuable asset for fantasy teams. In 2024, he played through two knee injuries, including a partially torn PCL, which severely limited his playing time and effectiveness. However, when on the field, Kincaid demonstrated high efficiency, boasting the second-highest target per route run rate among tight ends and averaging the 10th-most yards per route run at his position.

Kincaid's health is a crucial factor in his 2025 outlook. With a clean bill of health heading into the new season, he is expected to see a significant increase in playing time and opportunities. In his first nine games of 2024 before the injury, Kincaid was on pace for 102 targets, indicating a substantial role in the Buffalo Bills' offense. Given that the Bills have not upgraded their receiving corps, Kincaid remains a key piece and has sleeper appeal, particularly since he should not cost much on draft day.

One of the most promising aspects of Kincaid's game is his ability as a pass-catching tight end. He flashed this potential during his rookie season and continued to show glimpses of it even through the injuries in 2024. Kincaid's route running, hands, and release skills are highly regarded, and he projects as a reliable chain mover with scoring upside. However, he does need to improve his strength to handle more physical defenders and expand his role in the offense.

For fantasy owners, Dalton Kincaid should be considered as a low-end TE1 or a high-end backup tight end. His efficiency and target share suggest he could provide consistent production, especially if he can stay healthy. With the Bills relying on him as part of their offense, Kincaid offers mid-tier TE1 upside and is a post-hype sleeper who could significantly outperform his draft position in 2025.

Updated 06/28/2025