Justin Herbert

As we head into the 2025 fantasy football season, Justin Herbert is poised to be a highly valuable asset for any fantasy team. Despite a tumultuous start to the 2024 season, marred by a foot injury in camp and a high ankle sprain in Week 3, Herbert managed to turn his performance around significantly in the second half of the year. In the first six weeks, he struggled, averaging just 163 passing yards per game and 5.2 rushing yards per game, ranking as the QB27 in fantasy points per game. However, from Weeks 7-18, Herbert's numbers skyrocketed, making him the QB11 in fantasy points per game, with impressive averages of 254.6 passing yards per game and 23.3 rushing yards per game.

The offseason has brought several positive changes that could elevate Herbert's performance even further. The Los Angeles Chargers have bolstered their receiving corps by drafting two rookie wideouts, including second-rounder Tre Harris, and bringing back veteran receiver Mike Williams. Additionally, the team has reconfigured its running back room, which could lead to a more balanced offense. This balance is expected to result in longer drives and more scoring opportunities for Herbert, potentially increasing his pass attempts and touchdowns. With these new weapons and a more efficient running game, Herbert is projected to have a combined 4,500 yards and at least 30 touchdowns, making him a compelling pick.

Herbert's fantasy outlook is further enhanced by his consistent improvement and the team's strategic adjustments. After the bye week in 2024, the Chargers shifted their strategy to involve Herbert more in the passing game, leading to more wins and a playoff berth. This change resulted in Herbert averaging 31.8 pass attempts and 21.5 fantasy points per game. His last three games of the season were particularly impressive, with averages of 29.6 fantasy points and 35 pass attempts per game. This trend suggests that Herbert has the potential to consistently deliver high fantasy points, especially with his upgraded set of offensive weapons.

Given his performance trajectory and the offseason additions, Justin Herbert is best viewed as a rock-solid QB2 with significant upside to perform as a QB1. He offers a low-risk, high-reward profile, making him an excellent late-round draft pick. With a safe expectation of around 20 fantasy points per game and the potential to reach the 25-point-per-game range, Herbert is an attractive choice for fantasy football managers looking for a reliable and potent quarterback.

Updated 06/28/2025