Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence enters the 2026 fantasy football season as a strong mid-range QB1 with legitimate top-five upside if last year’s late-season surge holds. After a resurgent 2025 in which he threw for 4,007 yards, 29 touchdowns, and added a career-high 359 rushing yards plus nine rushing scores, he finished the year as one of fantasy’s hottest quarterbacks over the final stretch.

The biggest reason for optimism is that Lawrence looked much more dynamic as a runner and showed the kind of ceiling fantasy managers have been waiting for. Fantasy outlets expect some regression on the nine rushing touchdowns, but they still see him as firmly in the low-end QB1 conversation, with projections that place him around the QB11 range and roughly 20 fantasy points per game.

Jacksonville’s offense also looks set up to support him well in 2026. Recent preview material describes the Jaguars as an offense worth investing in, with Lawrence benefiting from a deeper pass-catching group and more stability around the scheme. That matters for fantasy because Lawrence’s best weeks came when the Jaguars were playing aggressively and letting him push the ball downfield, which fits the profile of a quarterback who can be started confidently in most matchups.

The main fantasy question is whether he can repeat the volume of rushing touchdowns that boosted his 2025 finish, because that is the toughest part of his stat line to bank on. Even if that number comes down, the combination of improved passing production, solid rushing floor, and a favorable offensive environment makes Lawrence one of the safer QB1 targets in 2026 drafts, especially for managers who want upside without paying elite quarterback prices.

Updated 06/08/2026